Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Larkin
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Larkin
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Larkin
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
58.6% (273)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
66.7% (3)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
43.3% (67)
+5.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jankowski
Home
56.6% (700)
54.7% (128)
Away
52.1% (655)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Larkin
Jankowski
P1
55.4%
54.5%
P2
54.7%
56.5%
P3
52.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |