Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Barzal 39.3% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 63.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Larkin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Larkin
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
35.0% (283)
+18.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
55.6% (9)
+3.7%
On even strength, Larkin has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Larkin
Barzal
Home
56.6% (700)
37.0% (138)
Away
52.1% (655)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Larkin
Barzal
P1
55.4%
29.5%
P2
54.7%
44.5%
P3
52.7%
31.8%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |