Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Barzal 47.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 89.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Larkin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
42.3% (52)
+10.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Larkin
Barzal
Home
54.7% (783)
28.0% (25)
Away
54.3% (816)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Larkin
Barzal
P1
55.9%
47.4%
P2
56.1%
45.8%
P3
51.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |