Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Joseph 47.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 57.2%
Defensive zone
Joseph 52.6%
Neutral zone
Joseph 50.7%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Larkin
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joseph
0
1
Larkin
Joseph
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
39.5% (43)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
60.0% (5)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
55.6% (662)
34.5% (29)
Away
48.3% (542)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
49.9%
40.9%
P2
52.7%
41.7%
P3
53.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |