Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Joseph 50.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Larkin
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
50.0% (60)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
100.0% (1)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
66.7% (3)
-10.8%
On power play, Joseph has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
54.7% (783)
52.8% (36)
Away
54.3% (816)
50.0% (28)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
55.9%
51.7%
P2
56.1%
29.4%
P3
51.1%
72.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |