Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Joseph 48.6% (+21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Larkin
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
42.9% (7)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
0.0% (2)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
56.6% (700)
50.0% (6)
Away
52.1% (655)
0.0% (3)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
55.4%
40.0%
P2
54.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |