Dylan Larkin vs Mathieu Joseph

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +29.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.4% vs Joseph 46.2% (+29.1%)
Offensive zone Larkin 53.2%
Defensive zone Larkin 70.5%
Neutral zone Larkin 57.2%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Larkin Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
26.7% (15)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
0.0% (2)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
52.4% (647)
25.0% (8)
Away
52.7% (643)
22.2% (9)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
52.2%
40.0%
P2
53.1%
22.2%
P3
51.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
20.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.6%
Joseph
42.0%
41.0%
23.5%