Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Joseph 43.4% (+22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Larkin
Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Joseph
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
29.3% (58)
+26.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
50.0% (4)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
75.0% (4)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
56.0% (654)
37.9% (29)
Away
54.8% (639)
29.7% (37)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
54.4%
9.1%
P2
55.9%
37.9%
P3
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |