Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 45.5% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 71.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 63.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (81)
50.8% (1,073)
-10.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
52.5% (118)
-10.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
44.4% (45)
52.9% (682)
Away
38.2% (55)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
46.7%
47.5%
P2
39.3%
52.8%
P3
38.1%
51.4%
Final 5 min
27.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |