Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.3%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Larkin
Zibanejad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
54.0% (955)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
55.6% (243)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
35.0% (140)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
55.6% (662)
55.2% (656)
Away
48.3% (542)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
49.9%
56.3%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
51.2%
OT
68.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |