Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 51.8%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Larkin
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
53.4% (770)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
46.2% (39)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
44.7% (141)
+3.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (647)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.7% (643)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
52.2%
53.0%
P2
53.1%
51.1%
P3
51.7%
51.0%
OT
61.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |