Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
11
(31 meetings)
20
11
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
5
Larkin
Zibanejad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
4
Larkin
Zibanejad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
50.1% (1,051)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
58.3% (120)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
41.9% (227)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
56.6% (700)
49.0% (681)
Away
52.1% (655)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
55.4%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
47.6%
P3
52.7%
51.1%
OT
59.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 6, 2022 | OT | 01:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |