Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 70 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 101-63 in 164 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
101
-
63
(164 meetings)
101
63
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
47
23
Larkin
Zibanejad
70 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
29
21
Larkin
Zibanejad
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
25
19
Larkin
Zibanejad
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.9% (11,719)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.2% (1,849)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
41.5% (1,790)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
52.7%
50.4%
P2
53.1%
49.7%
P3
52.1%
49.8%
OT
58.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |