Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 59.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Larkin
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Rantanen
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Larkin
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
46.3% (309)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
51.3% (39)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
16.7% (6)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
55.6% (662)
51.8% (197)
Away
48.3% (542)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
49.9%
47.2%
P2
52.7%
44.8%
P3
53.0%
46.9%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |