Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.1%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Larkin
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.7% (346)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
58.5% (164)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
56.0% (654)
55.8% (258)
Away
54.8% (639)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
55.9%
56.6%
P3
55.2%
54.3%
OT
64.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%