Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Rantanen 50.0% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 65.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Larkin
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.0% (44)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
50.0% (20)
+8.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
52.4% (647)
48.4% (31)
Away
52.7% (643)
51.5% (33)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
52.2%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
33.3%
P3
51.7%
70.6%
OT
61.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%