Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Rantanen 52.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Larkin
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
55.3% (188)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
46.3% (67)
+14.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
54.7% (783)
57.3% (143)
Away
54.3% (816)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
55.9%
47.8%
P2
56.1%
56.8%
P3
51.1%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |