Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 83.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 55.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 87.9%
12.1%
87.9%
Larkin
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Larkin
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
50.9% (334)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
43.7% (119)
+15.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
56.6% (700)
49.4% (241)
Away
52.1% (655)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
55.4%
47.1%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
52.7%
51.9%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |