Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Larkin
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
42.9% (133)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
55.1% (89)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
47.1% (17)
+0.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Larkin
Schmaltz
Home
55.6% (662)
41.6% (125)
Away
48.3% (542)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Larkin
Schmaltz
P1
49.9%
40.0%
P2
52.7%
59.5%
P3
53.0%
45.0%
OT
68.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%