Dylan Larkin vs Nick Schmaltz

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 63.0%
Defensive zone Larkin 89.4%
Neutral zone Larkin 86.0%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Larkin Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
18 - 13 (31 meetings)
18
13
Larkin Schmaltz
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Schmaltz

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
7
Larkin Schmaltz
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
2
Larkin Schmaltz
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin Schmaltz
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
47.1% (649)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
47.8% (134)
+2.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Larkin
Schmaltz
Home
54.0% (6,238)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Larkin
Schmaltz
P1
52.7%
41.1%
P2
53.1%
42.9%
P3
52.1%
43.0%
OT
58.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%
45.0%
42.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 4, 2026 3 08:29 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 2 11:29 Neutral Nick Schmaltz
Feb 4, 2026 2 08:07 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 2 07:56 Defensive Nick Schmaltz
Feb 4, 2026 2 02:33 Offensive Nick Schmaltz
Feb 4, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 1 14:12 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 1 03:25 Neutral Nick Schmaltz
Feb 4, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 17, 2025 2 19:15 Offensive Nick Schmaltz
Dec 17, 2025 2 14:17 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 17, 2025 2 09:14 Offensive Nick Schmaltz
Dec 17, 2025 2 06:35 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 17, 2025 1 11:52 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 24, 2025 3 17:43 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 24, 2025 3 00:15 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 24, 2025 2 18:16 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 24, 2025 2 00:10 Neutral Nick Schmaltz
Mar 24, 2025 1 13:31 Offensive Nick Schmaltz
Jan 17, 2023 1 00:22 Defensive Dylan Larkin