Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+14.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Larkin
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
38.5% (309)
+17.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
53.2% (79)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
25.0% (12)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Larkin
Schmaltz
Home
56.0% (654)
38.0% (184)
Away
54.8% (639)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Larkin
Schmaltz
P1
54.4%
40.3%
P2
55.9%
39.9%
P3
55.2%
40.7%
OT
64.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%