Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.7%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Bennett 51.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 56.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larkin
Bennett
Last 6: Larkin 2-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Larkin
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Larkin
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
53.6% (151)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
42.1% (19)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
0.0% (2)
+49.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
54.9% (721)
52.3% (86)
Away
49.6% (641)
51.2% (86)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
52.4%
44.8%
P2
50.8%
50.8%
P3
54.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
57.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |