Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Bennett 45.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 59.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 54.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Larkin
Bennett
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Larkin
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
6
Larkin
Bennett
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.7% (772)
+11.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
56.9% (58)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
42.9% (28)
+3.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
56.0% (654)
48.5% (447)
Away
54.8% (639)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
54.4%
47.1%
P2
55.9%
45.8%
P3
55.2%
42.9%
OT
64.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |