Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 77.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Bennett
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
45.5% (756)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
63.0% (92)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
31.0% (29)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
55.6% (662)
46.5% (456)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
49.9%
46.6%
P2
52.7%
50.5%
P3
53.0%
43.5%
OT
68.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |