Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Bennett 48.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larkin
Bennett
Last 9: Larkin 7-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
46.4% (780)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
57.3% (150)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
47.8% (46)
+0.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
52.4% (647)
50.3% (519)
Away
52.7% (643)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
52.2%
47.5%
P2
53.1%
46.6%
P3
51.7%
49.8%
OT
61.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |