Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Larkin
Bennett
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
8
10
Larkin
Bennett
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
4
Larkin
Bennett
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
8
Larkin
Bennett
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
46.8% (5,683)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
53.7% (555)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
41.8% (256)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
54.0% (6,238)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
52.7%
48.0%
P2
53.1%
46.5%
P3
52.1%
46.9%
OT
58.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |