Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bennett 46.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 63.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 58.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 68.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Larkin
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Larkin
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
46.5% (909)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
43.1% (51)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
38.5% (13)
+17.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
54.7% (783)
45.4% (449)
Away
54.3% (816)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
55.9%
49.6%
P2
56.1%
43.7%
P3
51.1%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |