Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Bennett 47.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 84.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Bennett
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.2% (766)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
45.1% (82)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
33.9% (56)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
56.6% (700)
49.1% (458)
Away
52.1% (655)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
55.4%
47.9%
P2
54.7%
47.2%
P3
52.7%
46.4%
OT
59.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |