Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 54.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Larkin
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
46.5% (101)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
33.3% (3)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
37.5% (8)
+9.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lorentz
Home
55.6% (662)
49.1% (53)
Away
48.3% (542)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Larkin
Lorentz
P1
49.9%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
36.7%
P3
53.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.3%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
45.5%