Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+18.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Larkin
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
30.8% (26)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
57.1% (7)
-1.2%
On even strength, Larkin has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lorentz
Home
54.7% (783)
35.0% (20)
Away
54.3% (816)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Larkin
Lorentz
P1
55.9%
38.5%
P2
56.1%
37.5%
P3
51.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%