Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Nosek 51.4% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Larkin
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
54.4% (215)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
0.0% (1)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
23.5% (17)
+22.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nosek
Home
56.0% (654)
50.4% (127)
Away
54.8% (639)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Larkin
Nosek
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
55.9%
51.3%
P3
55.2%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%