Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Hayes 43.8% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Lindholm
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lindholm
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Lindholm
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
42.7% (478)
+9.7%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
42.9% (98)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
45.2% (31)
+4.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hayes
Home
52.3% (771)
43.5% (232)
Away
53.5% (821)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Lindholm
Hayes
P1
50.7%
40.1%
P2
55.3%
44.8%
P3
54.0%
42.4%
OT
29.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |