Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Lindholm
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Hayes
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Lindholm
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
48.5% (557)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
53.3% (107)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
58.3% (12)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hayes
Home
55.7% (760)
50.8% (313)
Away
55.8% (778)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Lindholm
Hayes
P1
53.7%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
47.7%
P3
55.1%
48.4%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |