Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Hayes 51.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 74.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 73.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Lindholm
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Lindholm
Hayes
Last 7: Lindholm 0-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Lindholm
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Lindholm
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
51.6% (386)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
53.2% (47)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
60.0% (20)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hayes
Home
54.4% (688)
50.5% (200)
Away
56.1% (686)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Lindholm
Hayes
P1
57.2%
58.8%
P2
54.3%
49.3%
P3
54.2%
48.0%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |