Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 67.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lindholm
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
60.6% (708)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
61.1% (18)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
56.4% (101)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Sturm
Home
55.2% (667)
61.6% (451)
Away
57.5% (669)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Lindholm
Sturm
P1
54.7%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
58.9%
P3
58.5%
64.6%
OT
64.7%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%