Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Gourde 45.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
47.1% (463)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
36.4% (11)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
29.9% (67)
+19.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
55.5% (431)
42.3% (215)
Away
52.7% (298)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
52.3%
44.8%
P2
54.8%
49.1%
P3
56.3%
40.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |