Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 62.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
47.2% (654)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
45.0% (20)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
32.2% (87)
+17.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
55.8% (541)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.7% (428)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
54.8%
42.4%
P2
55.7%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |