Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 73.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 70.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 65.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Lindholm
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lindholm
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
48.0% (914)
+9.3%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
54.2% (48)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
43.9% (123)
+5.2%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
55.2% (667)
50.2% (512)
Away
57.5% (669)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
54.7%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
45.3%
P3
58.5%
48.6%
OT
64.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |