Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 68.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lindholm
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
51.2% (469)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
42.9% (21)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
37.5% (48)
+11.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
54.4% (688)
47.8% (301)
Away
56.1% (686)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
57.2%
47.3%
P2
54.3%
53.4%
P3
54.2%
48.6%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |