Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 51.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 9: Lindholm 4-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Lindholm
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.1% (847)
+8.6%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
79.5% (44)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
39.5% (81)
+9.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
55.7% (760)
50.1% (491)
Away
55.8% (778)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
53.7%
54.7%
P2
58.3%
45.0%
P3
55.1%
49.4%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |