Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Gourde 49.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 59.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Lindholm
Gourde
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
6
Lindholm
Gourde
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
49.1% (731)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
54.3% (81)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
48.2% (85)
+1.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
52.3% (771)
50.9% (479)
Away
53.5% (821)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
50.7%
51.2%
P2
55.3%
49.8%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
29.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |