Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 35-29 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 62.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
35
(64 meetings)
29
35
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
12
12
Lindholm
Gourde
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
16
Lindholm
Gourde
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
7
Lindholm
Gourde
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
57.4% (376)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
39.9% (554)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
54.1%
49.9%
P2
54.5%
47.4%
P3
53.0%
47.5%
OT
53.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |