Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Dowd 53.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Pettersson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
55.4% (771)
-11.5%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
57.1% (7)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.5% (165)
+0.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Dowd
Home
45.5% (290)
58.2% (462)
Away
42.4% (250)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Pettersson
Dowd
P1
40.2%
55.6%
P2
43.9%
50.5%
P3
48.8%
53.9%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |