Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 93.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Pettersson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pettersson
Dowd
Last 7: Pettersson 5-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Pettersson
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
49.2% (778)
+1.2%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
58.3% (12)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
44.0% (234)
-3.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Dowd
Home
50.7% (420)
46.3% (492)
Away
50.9% (379)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Pettersson
Dowd
P1
48.0%
49.1%
P2
47.6%
48.2%
P3
57.5%
46.9%
OT
30.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |