Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Pettersson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pettersson
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Pettersson
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
52.2% (835)
-5.9%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
60.0% (10)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.0% (350)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Dowd
Home
48.1% (489)
51.5% (619)
Away
46.9% (475)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Pettersson
Dowd
P1
47.4%
51.7%
P2
48.3%
51.6%
P3
46.6%
47.0%
OT
55.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |