Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 47.1% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Haula
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Haula
MacKinnon
Last 8: Haula 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Haula
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Haula
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
42.0% (407)
+6.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.2% (43)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (44)
50.0% (2)
-13.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Haula is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Haula shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Haula
MacKinnon
Home
45.5% (178)
42.1% (202)
Away
47.1% (170)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Haula
MacKinnon
P1
44.6%
43.3%
P2
46.2%
41.5%
P3
47.6%
44.2%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |