Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 61.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Haula
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Haula
MacKinnon
Last 5: Haula 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Haula
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
49.2% (1,266)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
54.9% (193)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
49.1% (55)
-1.1%
On even strength, Haula has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Haula is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Haula shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Haula
MacKinnon
Home
54.2% (345)
50.9% (740)
Away
51.1% (374)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Haula
MacKinnon
P1
55.8%
50.9%
P2
48.0%
51.8%
P3
54.1%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |