Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 83.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 83.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Haula
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
45.8% (755)
+6.9%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
48.3% (60)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
27.6% (29)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Haula
MacKinnon
Home
54.0% (404)
49.5% (396)
Away
53.7% (402)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Haula
MacKinnon
P1
50.8%
50.2%
P2
55.0%
43.8%
P3
55.1%
41.4%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |