Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 59.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 87.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 86.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Haula
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Haula
MacKinnon
Last 8: Haula 6-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
1
Haula
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
45.5% (1,190)
+12.1%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
56.4% (94)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
40.0% (30)
+5.5%
On even strength, Haula has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Haula
MacKinnon
Home
56.3% (449)
47.8% (670)
Away
53.3% (443)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Haula
MacKinnon
P1
58.4%
45.3%
P2
54.9%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Erik Haula |