Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 72.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 82.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 82.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Haula
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
44.7% (1,053)
+9.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
36.8% (95)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
65.0% (20)
-19.6%
On power play, Haula has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Haula
MacKinnon
Home
55.4% (520)
49.4% (553)
Away
53.1% (537)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Haula
MacKinnon
P1
56.5%
45.3%
P2
53.3%
42.7%
P3
53.8%
45.1%
OT
25.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |